Elevated stress levels within the Southern California Weather Force earthquake fault stress model is prompting me to give the go ahead to issue a state-wide Earthquake Watch effective now. Read on for details.
We have been quiet for several months across the state. We haven’t seen many 4+ magnitude quakes for awhile and we should be seeing more of those soon. The general trend over the last several days has been on the up and we have been getting a swarm in the Mammoth Mountain area as well. Such a swarm is indicating that state-wide stress levels within the mantle/crust boundary are elevated.
The watch zone is for the entire state and into some of Baja, Mexico as well.
An Earthquake Watch is a product issued only here at the Southern California Weather Force when stress model shows a trend upwards at a steep angle along with high values being detected. We are at a very high peak right now.
This watch will go through the next 10 days for a magnitude 4 or higher quake.
Prediction success rate is about 95% at the current time, getting an offshore 5 mag and Trabuco Canyon 4.0 at the beginning of this year.
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