A warm-up is on the way, but brief, as another round of Santa Ana Winds approaches our forecast area, surrounding the coming 27th anniversary of the Northridge Earthquake. California Fault Stress Model viewers also have a message as do the rest of you from me so read on for details …
First off I want to express the sadness, anger and stress the social network giants are causing everyone, myself included. Southern California Weather Force is not dying if the people do not want it to. I am moving all premium members to MY HOUSE and it’ll be just a premium club for those who do not want to lose what I offer in the weather and earthquake field. If you want to continue to follow, the servers are being upgraded for you and it will be done soon.
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Because once I’m off Facebook, I’m off and on my site with my models and micro-climates. 120 have signed up so far. I figure to continue to grow and provide more features to members the number of around 300-500 would be fine. It is up to you if you want to continue receiving my information. Now to the forecast.
The January 2021 forecast I released a week ago remains. That forecast (Click here to read), is a classic pattern where strong Santa Ana Wind Events will be between storm systems. It will only take one shove to get one of those to the west of us. This I do expect sometime in the last 10 days or week of this month, similar to December 2020.
But, before that, we will have to endure a warm period followed by Santa Ana Wind Events. Thursday the 14th will have the warm-up, with the mid-80s projected in the valley/basin areas. This is something we rarely see in January. Such warm-air advection means that the ridge is very strong, but the Santa Ana Winds will probably be on the moderate strength side then. The warm-up will last through the weekend and into this next Monday as well, which puts a similar atmosphere to when the 1994 Northridge Quake hit. Anyone around then remembered the days leading to it being warmer than normal. Don’t be alarmed though, this holds no merit that the big one is coming based on only a warm-up like that.
But… as I said … I am holding onto a similar end month debacle to the otherwise calm jet stream and we should start to see erratic changes through February to April, even lasting into May if we are lucky. We are far from throwing the towel in on our rainy season until that jet stream settles.
CALIFORNIA FAULT STRESS MODEL: This project will be on the SCWF Member Section. My sensor is out as you know and I’ll have it running in a week or so, hopefully before. If you want to join to help keep that project going, by all means, use the link above that says click to follow. Thanks.
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