Back on February 18th, a Special Weather Statement was issued here at Southern California Weather Force on the arctic air-mass to move through the area, giving some of you rain, snow, wind, or a combination of either. From here on out, Southern California Weather Force will take full control and head the forecast operations for this system for all Southern California as this is yet again a Martin Storm Pattern Predicted On February 14th under the ‘Long Range‘ Section of the article so read on for details on if you will be affected or not, because some of you will not be …
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The commanding article worked on the system back on February 18th. You can find the article below this write-up. Absolutely nothing has changed from it. It labeled who would see the most, the least, and how low the snow-levels will go. If you cannot find that article, CLICK HERE – otherwise continue scrolling down until you see the images for rain and snow. These images are preliminary meaning a hint at what is to come, the final being released tomorrow (Tuesday) …
All product alerts look good right now. The Winter Weather Watch covered the mountains, high desert areas, and the upper Inland Empire from Yucaipa to Banning/Beaumont. Nothing has changed except officially I will upgrade those to the final alerts on the final forecast tomorrow (Tuesday) …
The Mountain Passes that look the most impacted will certainly be the Gorman Pass areas more so than the Cajon. Cajon does show up on the SCWF model image as 0-2″ of snowfall, but we have seen it before. Unlike the last system, some instability parameters are missing so I do not expect this to be a major event up there. It however will keep the 2-6″ outline over the Gorman Pass so closures are likely there for Wednesday.
NOTE: If your area does not get much, do not go to my pages and be whiner babies. You need to understand the model images below. For example, Ventura you will not see as much as Vandenberg or Ontario. You have a west-northwest flow which isn’t that good for that zone as the Santa Barbara County Mountains block the moisture from hitting you … ringing out over Vandenberg. The flow then moves south of you and into the metros of LA/OC/IE/San Diego … speaking of that … LA you won’t see as much as San Diego at all. San Diego has the west to east flow that will bring a good amount of rainfall to that area.
I will monitor for thunderstorm dynamics, but one thing different from the last one is the lack of instability in a level I look for thunderstorms in. That’s mostly north of the forecast area so for now I’ll go very isolated risk but at the moment nothing widespread to mention a thunderstorm watch. Will continue to monitor that …
Just use the images below for this forecast and the final coming up… ALL SCWF alerts issued look good so far, including the Wind Watches which are taking care of the mountain/desert winds today … the metro populated zones on Tuesday with strong westerly winds …
NASCAR SUNDAY 2/27: Sunday looks to have temperatures in the low to mid 70s, likely 74-75F under mostly cloudy to overcast skies in terms of thick high clouds and airline contrails, not low clouds. Light offshore flow will also accompany the event. Overall, a great weekend – but don’t expect bluebird skies for Sunday –
LONG RANGE: We remain at just above 10.65″ inches of rainfall for Downtown Los Angeles this season. My forecast was 10-14″ which means we are within it and in a scientific perspective I wouldn’t mind now having too much more to maintain that window, but a lot of the times this type of pattern leads to an active Spring. That forecast will be given in a couple weeks as this month closes and we start Meteorological Spring, which is March 1st every year.
The following articles pertained to the analysis and prediction of this forecast …
February 18, 2022
Arctic Air Mass To Return Tuesday night into Wednesday For A Near Repeat Of Last Weather Pattern; First Outlook
February 14, 2022
Cold Inside Slider System To Bring Mountain Snow, Some Rain, and Gusty Winds To Various Parts Of Southern California Tuesday Afternoon Through The Night; Details
I control 10 counties in Southern California so there is a lot to say for various areas. The best I can do is let the images below speak for themselves.
The maps below are of flood, rain, snow, snow-level, or wind intensity, whichever is available now. Each one is clickable. Map 1 is NW SoCal, Map 2 is SW SoCal, Map 3 is SE SoCal, Map 4 is NE SoCal, Map 5 is the Cajon Pass, and Map 6 is the SCV region, which includes Gorman at the top.
GET TO KNOW YOUR MAP BECAUSE THESE NEVER CHANGE LOCATIONS
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Snow Model – Valid Through February 23, 2022 – PREMIUM MEMBERS CLICK HERE FOR YOUR GPS MODELS IN THE MEMBER SECTION
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Southern California Weather Force is a custom weather alert service that began in September 1999 off and is regarded as the most accurate weather service in the region, offering custom alerts, maps, and models to help save life and property. The work done here is never 100% accurate, but it comes pretty close. Southern California Weather Force runs on zones, so if an event happens in a zone that is 10 miles from the border of your zone, the forecast is still valid to activate your zone’s alert system. A company quote to the public is that of “The Joker” and tells other agencies in weather this all the time… “This world deserves a better class of meteorologist… and I’m gonna give it to them”… out-forecasting even the National Weather Service with lead-time and precision, which makes this service a focus of ridicule and envy in the weather community due to having such accuracy. Alerts issued here are issued custom from this office and this office alone. You may not even hear it elsewhere, but if one is issued near or in your area, listen up because “if you do not wish to die in weather, follow, it’ll save your life one day.”
Raiden Storm