Issued Zones: Ventura, Los Angeles, Orange County Coast and Basin … San Diego Coast Oceanside and possibly Encinitas …
Site: Southern California Weather Force has issued a Mesoscale Discussion concerning the upgrade from Severe Thunderstorm Watch to Tornado Watch within the next several hours for this afternoon through later evening …
Date Issued: 3/28/22 at 4:40am local
Forecast: A powerful storm system is moving in as we speak and as of the release of this discussion, the first front is now nearing Santa Barbara, on time to the forecast. This front still has the chance of thunderstorms as it moves east through VT/LA throughout the day today.
However the focus is the second front, which is already sparking thunderstorms well offshore. This is signaling that it will have thunderstorms when it reaches us, a lot of them. As it reaches the mesoscale discussion area later this evening, I expect it to be very close to the surface low, in fact so close that one of the tornadoes will be a part of the surface low itself.
Southeasterly flow present as stated in previous updates will bring the risk of large waterspouts landfalling into tornadoes. With the instability over the land present, these could also form over the Basins as well.
THIS WOULD UPGRADE THE SYSTEM TO CATEGORY SIX IF ISSUED … This would be the first time I’ve used a Category Six out of the SCWF 1-6 storm intensity/rarity scale…
This decision will be made over the day …
A Mesoscale Discussion means that conditions are being monitored on the meso (small) scale atmosphere to upgrade the outlined area in a higher class convective (thunderstorm) type watch …
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Raiden Storm